Is thought just a program?
Will Artificial Intelligence Ever Live Up to Its Hype?
Replication problems plague the field of AI, and the goal of general intelligence remains as elusive as ever
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/will-artificial-intelligence-ever-live-up-to-its-hype/
Photo by Amanda Dalbjörn on Unsplash
In this post the dialogue is realised by an interaction of virtual characters, for more information please check the page “Virtual characters“
Manuel
What? Why? 😅😅
Sam
Sam
What rules do we actually use to solve problems? Play chess? Do math? Solve puzzles? Have dinner at a restaurant? What script do we follow?
Manuel
OK, it does seems like a good idea to figure that out first 😁😁
Sam
If intelligence is the ability to solve problems, in general, then we can just look at how humans solve problems, and put that in an algorithm
Manuel
I’m guessing this is where icebergs make a sudden appearance…
Sam
Absolutely: even in the case of chess or math, humans are far from perfectly rational. We make mistakes, have to backtrack, react differently in similar situations, etc
Sam
… and that is without taking into account that the world is not a chessboard
Manuel
So again … … if they knew all that early on: where did the optimism come from?
Sam
Manuel
If that were true, then indeed AGI sounds like something right around the corner!
Sam
Yeah, it was a very convincing paradigm: thinking, problems solving, etc. is just symbol manipulation. And that’s something a computer can do too 😅🤣
Manuel
But a computer isn’t automatically a “general intelligence”, so why was this so convincing? And especially at the time … 😆
Sam
It was enough that it could in principle do the same things a human could, even if we didn’t have the algorithm yet
Sam
If you could boil down intelligent human behaviour to rules, and then translate those to a computer, you’d be done!
Manuel
So how successful were they in the end?
Sam
Manuel
Wow! And nobody opposed this approach? 😕
Sam
Obviously. Some accused them of being far too optimistic, other proposed competing paradigms
Manuel
So what was the main criticism?
Sam
Well, some of the proponent made really outlandish claims, so Herbert Simon already in 1957 claimed that there were “machines that think, that learn and that create.”
Manuel
That would seem a bit premature …
Sam
Yep, so they got accused of selling hype, but ultimately this approach was superseded by something completely different
Manuel
OK! Now I’m curious … what happened? 😲😲😲
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